ICWA: Global Review 2022

ICWA

The Indian Council of World Affairs regularly brings out insightful and quality research articles in the form of Issue Briefs and View Points on major political, security and economic trends and developments in Asia, Africa, Europe, the United States, Latin America, Oceania and the wider global geostrategic and economic environments. These research articles contribute to foreign policy debates and discussions on a regular basis. This publication ICWA Global Review 2022 comprising research papers by the Research Faculty of ICWA focuses on global and regional developments in the year 2022. The articles capture the key developments in various geographies, their impact and implications.

ICWA

About the ICWA: The Indian Council of World Affairs (ICWA) was established in 1943 by a group of eminent intellectuals led by Sir Tej Bahadur Sapru and Dr. H.N. Kunzru. Its principal objective was to create an Indian perspective on international relations and act as a repository of knowledge and thinking on foreign policy issues. The Council today conducts policy research through an in-house faculty as well as through external experts. It regularly organises an array of intellectual activities including conferences, seminars, roundtable discussions, lectures and brings out a range of publications. It has a well-stocked library, an active website and publishes the journal India Quarterly. ICWA has over 50 MoUs with international think tanks and research institutions to promote better understanding on international issues and develop areas of mutual cooperation. The Council also has partnerships with leading research institutions, think tanks and universities in India.

Contents

Preface
Contributors

IMAPCT AND IMPLICATIONS OF RUSSIA-UKRAINE CRISIS

European Responses to the Ukraine Crisis
Ankita Dutta

Ukraine Crisis and its Implications
Himani Pant

Russia-Ukraine Crisis and Implications for Central Asian Countries
Punit Gaur

Gulf Responses to the Ukraine Crisis
Lakshmi Priya

Russia-Ukraine Conflict and Food Security Challenge in WANA Region
Fazzur Rahman Siddiqui

The crisis in Ukraine and Russia’s engagement with Venezuela, Nicaragua and Cuba
Arnab Chakrabarty

The Impact of Russia-Ukraine War on Global Food Security
Sankalp Gurjar

Ukraine Crisis: Evolving European Security Architecture
Ankita Dutta

Southeast Asia and the Ukrainian Crisis
Sripathi Narayanan

Crisis in Ukraine and Japan-Russia Relations
Jojin V. John

Europe’s Energy Security in the Aftermath of Ukrainian Crisis
Ankita Dutta

Current Situation in Ukraine and its Impact on Russian Foreign Policy
Himani Pant

Implications of Iranian Drones in Ukraine
Lakshmi Priya

INDO-PACIFIC

India’s Outreach to Indian Ocean Islands Amidst Dynamic Strategic Environment
Pragya Pandey

Maldives-Australia: Budding Indo-Pacific Cooperation
Samatha Mallempati

Contextualising the Presidential Fleet Review and Exercise Milan
Sripathi Narayanan

Expanding the Strategic Envelope: Indo-Pacific, Africa and Shinzo Abe
Sankalp Gurjar

The United States and the Pacific Island Countries
Stuti Banerjee

Sabre-Rattling in the Taiwan Strait: Implications for the Indo-Pacific Region
Teshu Singh

ASEAN and the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework
Temjenmeren Ao

ASEAN’s Approach to the Indo-Pacific
Temjenmeren Ao

Canada Embraces the Indo-Pacific with a Formal Strategy
Pragya Pandey

China’s First Indian Ocean Region Forum and its Growing Assertiveness in the Region
Pragya Pandey

Growing German Engagement in the Indo-Pacific
Tarveen Kaur

SOUTH ASIA

Afghan Civil Society and Western officials held Talks with Taliban delegation in Oslo
Anwesha Ghosh

Sri Lanka’s Post-War Reconciliation: Rising Concerns
Samatha Mallempati

What led to the Economic Crisis in Pakistan?
Rahul Nath Choudhury

Pakistan National Security Policy: An Assessment
Dhrubajyoti Bhattacharjee

India sends Humanitarian Assistance to Afghanistan via Pakistan
Anwesha Ghosh

The Crisis in Sri Lanka: Stalemate Continues
Samatha Mallempati

Is China looking for a Greater Role in Taliban-ruled Afghanistan?
Anwesha Ghosh

Taliban’s Quest for Legitimacy Continues
Kaushik Nag

Political Developments in Sri Lanka Amidst the Economic Crisis
Samatha Mallempati

Afghan Taliban mediate Ceasefire between Pakistan and Pakistani Taliban
Anwesha Ghosh

India’s Initiatives following a Deadly Earthquake in Afghanistan
Anwesha Ghosh

Developments in Sri Lanka: A Bleak Economic and Political Future?
Samatha Mallempati

One Year since the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan
Anwesha Ghosh

Maldives: Exploring a Greater Role in the Region
Samatha Mallempati

Pakistan’s exit from the FATF ‘grey list’: Implications for Global Counter-Terrorism Efforts and for Islamabad
Shrabana Barua

Long-standing Border Dispute and Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan Reignite Tensions between Taliban and Pakistan
Anwesha Ghosh

Post July 2022 Developments in Sri Lanka: Economy and Politics
Samatha Mallempati

Growing Power Cooperation in South Asia
Kaushik Nag

SOUTHEAST AND EAST ASIA

China-Mongolia-Russia Economic Corridor: An Assessment
Sudeep Kumar

China-Philippines South China Sea Dispute, PCA Award and Post-Arbitral Relations
Mudassir Qamar

China’s Economic Challenges and Priorities for 2022
Sanjeev Kumar

The Upcoming Elections in the Philippines
Temjenmeren Ao

ASEAN’s Myanmar Dilemma
Sripathi Narayanan

China’s Central Asia Summit
Sanjeev Kumar

North Korea: A Decade under Kim Jong-un
Jojin V. John

South Korean Presidential Election: Between Practical and Predictable Foreign Policy
Jojin V. John

China-Japan Relations and the Taiwan Issue
Sudeep Kumar

State of the Economy in Southeast Asia
Temjenmeren Ao

China’s New Artifice: Global Security Initiative
Teshu Singh

EAM’s Visit to Europe: Impressions from China
Sanjeev Kumar

Philippines under a new Administration led by Marcos Jr
Temjenmeren Ao

Shinzo Abe’s Legacy and India-Japan Relations
Sudeep Kumar

India’s Military Diplomatic Engagement with Southeast Asia
Sripathi Narayanan

One Year of China’s Global Development Initiative: High on Rhetoric, Low on Substance?
Sanjeev Kumar

China’s 20th Party Congress and ‘Party Building’ Project
Sanjeev Kumar

South Korea-Japan Reconciliation in Sight Amidst the North Korean Threat
Tunchinmang Langel

Outlook on South Korea and Vietnam’s Progression towards a “Comprehensive Strategic Partnership”
Tunchinmang Langel

Veracity of Chinese Overseas Police Stations
Teshu Singh

Significance of Japan’s New National Security Strategy 2022
Tunchinmang Langel

WEST ASIA

Morocco becomes the First Arab State to Sign an open Defence Agreement with Israel
Arshad

Changing Dynamic of Turkey - Arab Relationship: An Overview
Fazzur Rahman Siddiqui

Implications of Houthi Drone and Missile Attacks on the UAE
Lakshmi Priya

Why Libya Failed to Conduct Presidential Election in December 2021 ?
Arshad

Resumption of the Iran Nuclear Deal Talks(JCPOA)–Assessment of the European Role
Akanksha Thakur

What India gains from trade deal with Australia and the UAE?
Rahul Nath Choudhury

India and UAE Fostering Economic Ties through CEPA
Lakshmi Priya

Lebanon Elections: An Assessment
Fazzur Rahman Siddiqui

Riyadh’s ‘Balancing Act’ in the WANA Region
Lakshmi Priya

The Past, Present and Future of the Abraham Accords
Delma Joseph

President Biden’s West Asia Tour: A Reflection of Political Realism
Fazzur Rahman Siddiqui

I2U2: The Aspects and the Prospects
Ishani Agnihotri

Jeddah Summit for Security and Development: Aspects and Prospects
Arshad

The Greco - Turkish dispute over the Aegean Sea
Aashriti Gautam

Return of Netanyahu to Power: An Assessment
Fazzur Rahman Siddiqui

Istanbul Blast and its Implications: An Overview
Fazzur Rahman Siddiqui

CENTRAL ASIA

Unprecedented Situation in Kazakhstan: Causes & Implications
Athar Zafar

India - Central Asia Summit: A Milestone in Engagement with the Region
Athar Zafar

Election in Turkmenistan: Continuity or Change ?
Punit Gaur

China’s Growing Engagement with Central Asia
Gunjan Sidana

Tajikistan Strengthens Cooperation with Partners to Address Security Challenges
Athar Zafar

A Perspective on Fourth Consultative Meeting in Central Asia
Punit Gaur

AFRICA

The Return of Instability to the Horn of Africa
Sankalp Gurjar

Mali and the Great Power Politics in Africa
Sankalp Gurjar

Ethiopia Starts Electricity Generation at GERD: An Assessment
Fazzur Rahman Siddiqui

Egypt’s President Abdel Fatah Al - Sisi’s Visit to China: An Assessment
Arshad

Political Journey of Tunisia under President Saied: An Assessment
Arshad

Can Africa Emerge as a Viable Alternative to Russian Gas Exports for Europe ?
Kaushik Nag

The New American Strategy for Africa Amidst the Intensifying Great Power Politics
Sankalp Gurjar

Constitutional Referendum in Tunisia: An Overview
Fazzur Rahman Siddiqui

The Conflict in Ethiopia and the Regional(In) Security in the Horn of Africa
Sankalp Gurjar

William Ruto’s Presidency: What is in Store ?
Gauri Narain Mathur

Political Stalemate in Libya
Ishani Agnihotri

RUSSIA AND EUROPE

A lookback on Angela Merkel’s 16 years as the German Chancellor
Akanksha Thakur

Russia’s Diplomacy in the India - US - China Triangle
Himani Pant

One Year of Brexit—Where do things Stand?
Ankita Dutta

Lavrov’s Visit to India
Himani Pant

Reactions to the Northern Ireland Protocol Bill
Ankita Dutta

The Politics of Nord Stream 2 Pipeline
Aashriti Gautam

Understanding the Sweden Elections 2022
Monika Gupta

First Summit of the European Political Community: Key Takeaways
Monika Gupta

The Growing Relevance of Eurasian Economic Union for Russia
Himani Pant

US, LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

Year that Was: India - US Relations in 2021
Stuti Banerjee

Towards a New Constitution in Chile - challenges for President Elect Gabriel Boric
Arnab Chakrabarty

One Year of Biden Presidency
Stuti Banerjee

Biden’s Executive Order to Split Frozen Afghan Funds between Relief and 9 / 11 Victims
Anwesha Ghosh

US - China Relations under President Joe Biden
Teshu Singh

Argentina’s recent outreach towards the PRC
Arnab Chakrabarty

India and Canada Economic Ties: Re - Launching the Free Trade Agreement
Stuti Banerjee

India and the Caribbean: Building Cooperation to Address Climate Change Challenge
Stuti Banerjee

Analysis of the NATO’s Madrid Summit
Ankita Dutta

President Biden’s Middle East Conundrum
Stuti Banerjee

India and Peru: Building a Future Ready Partnership
Stuti Banerjee

The ‘New Left’ and its Coming to Power in Latin America
Stuti Banerjee

AUSTRALIA AND OCEANIA

One Ocean Summit and its Implications
Sripathi Narayanan

2nd Modi - Morrison Summit: Augmenting India - Australia Strategic Partnership in the Indo - Pacific
Pragya Pandey

Great Power Maneuvering and Geopolitical Shifts in the South Pacific
Pragya Pandey

Defence and Security Cooperation: Key Pillars of the India - Australia Partnership It is Okay No change
Pragya Pandey

Crisis for Pacific Regionalism as Kiribati Withdraws from the Pacific Island Forum(PIF)
Pragya pandey

US - Pacific Island Country Summit and Pacific Partnership Strategy: An Assessment
Pragya Pandey

MULTILATERAL INSTITUTIONS

5th BIMSTEC Summit
Sripathi Narayanan

Growing Significance of Iran’s Chabahar Port for Landlocked SCO Nations
Athar Zafar

WANA Countries Eye BRICS Membership
Lakshmi Priya

Potential of Financial Diversification Led by BRICS
Jaiveer Singh

SCO Samarkand Summit and India’s Chairmanship: A Perspective
Athar Zafar

Gulf Countries and the SCO Expansion
Lakshmi Priya

ASEAN and its Quest for Energy Resilience and Security
Temjenmeren Ao

MIGRATION

Need for a Migration and Mobility Track in India’s G20 Presidency
Surabhi Singh

Formalising Skills, Encouraging Mobility: A Case Study of Sri Lanka’s Skills Passport and Bahrain’s New Work Permit
Oonmona Das

EU’s Border Externalisation Approach: The Case of EU - Egypt Cooperation on Border Management
Gatha Nautiyal

Index