China is on the cusp of becoming a global superpower in the next two decades, if its economic rise continues uninterrupted. However, economic growth has not been able to heal the geographic, demographic and social fault lines within China. China’s neighbourhood is turbulent and has been throwing up new challenges that have the potential to create instability within the region. The maritime conundrum, in spite of the strategy of developing bases in the Indian Ocean Region, will persist and the debt trap policy has exposed the real intent of colonisation through the Maritime Silk Route. The resurgence of a state can be considered holistic, only if the people become partners in governance and share power. With the return of one-man rule, the sharing of power with the people is unlikely to happen any time soon in China. Unresolved border disputes and competing interests between India and China have the potential of developing into a military conflict. Therefore, India should focus on acquiring comprehensive military capabilities, ranging from a dissuasive posture to deterrence, before the capability gap becomes too wide. In the 10 chapters of this book the author has critically analysed the fault lines within China and the trajectory it has followed to achieve the status of a global superpower. It will be a handy reference volume for academicians, policy-makers and military professionals, to understand China’s long term objectives and future course of action that India should adopt for developing its military capabilities.
Narender Kumar
Brig Narender Kumar, SM, VSM, is an Infantry Officer, with close to 12 years experience in counter-insurgency and counter-terrorism operations. He has been part of United Nations Peace-Keeping Missions in North Africa and was a part of the Indian Training Team in a foreign country. He has served as an operational planning officer at the Brigade level; as Colonel Administration of a Division; and as Brig. General Staff in an Operational Area. His command tenures have been in counter-insurgency and counter-terrorism areas. He has vast experience of operations in deserts, high altitude areas and amphibious operations. Brig. Narender Kumar is a former Senior Fellow, Centre for Land Warfare Studies (CLAWS), and he also held the Chief of the Army Staff Chair of Excellence from 2013 to 2014. He has authored a book on Challenges in the Indian Ocean Region and Response Options. He has written more than 140 research papers/chapters for books/ articles for various journals and web portals. His areas of interest are Internal Security, Indian Ocean Region, Military Reforms and China. He is also the founder editor of the Indian Army Veterans magazine Sammaan. He has been speaking at various forums on subjects related to internal security, the threats and challenges to India in the Indian Ocean Region and the conflict in West Asia. He is currently a Distinguished Fellow at the United Service Institution of India (USI), where he is working on internal security issues.
Contents
Preface
Introduction
Chapter 1 Uneasy Path of Emergence of a State
Chapter 2 Geography of China: Aspirations to Inspiration
Chapter 3 Contemporary China: Challenges Within
Chapter 4 Regional and Global Challenges to China
Chapter 5 Maritime Conundrum of China: Insecurity to Security
Chapter 6 Re-Emergence and Rise of China: An Assessment
Chapter 7 Implications of the Rise of China: Is a Sino-India Collision Imminent?
Chapter 8 India’s Security Strategy: Dissuasion to Deterrence
Chapter 9 India Needs Stable and Balanced Military Capabilities
Chapter 10 Concluding Remarks: China will Resist till Accommodated
Political Science
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